Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 1.688202 1.835060 1.990969 2.169177 2.367680 2.582500 2.833237
2026-02-08 1.446271 1.643636 1.865151 2.133550 2.451761 2.819218 3.278883
2026-02-15 1.295670 1.521034 1.784547 2.118127 2.532993 3.037063 3.703714
2026-02-22 1.213362 1.463095 1.765226 2.162127 2.676472 3.329873 4.238092
2026-03-01 1.123959 1.384913 1.709483 2.149060 2.738605 3.516344 4.644806
2026-03-08 1.042568 1.308362 1.646836 2.117437 2.767751 3.654723 4.992182
2026-03-15 0.958558 1.221347 1.562633 2.047741 2.735362 3.700474 5.205425
2026-03-22 0.914444 1.183289 1.539523 2.057539 2.811494 3.902093 5.664676
2026-03-29 0.884027 1.161060 1.535330 2.091781 2.923032 4.162031 6.238014
2026-04-05 0.853756 1.136663 1.525743 2.116227 3.020054 4.405956 6.809755
2026-04-12 0.823177 1.109687 1.510231 2.129794 3.099939 4.627843 7.366948
2026-04-19 0.791346 1.078915 1.486987 2.129320 3.156503 4.815148 7.882975
2026-04-26 0.748009 1.029941 1.435273 2.083183 3.138792 4.881841 8.198155
2026-05-03 0.712378 0.990482 1.395515 2.052943 3.144283 4.987493 8.597101
2026-05-10 0.683774 0.959948 1.367383 2.038935 3.174946 5.138163 9.098594
2026-05-17 0.671146 0.952639 1.374067 2.081028 3.303314 5.472999 10.006125
2026-05-24 0.646530 0.925787 1.348814 2.068594 3.335258 5.633565 10.576887
2026-05-31 0.619620 0.894151 1.314366 2.038440 3.332988 5.728777 11.019853
2026-06-07 0.586505 0.851482 1.260380 1.971954 3.260114 5.681729 11.144167
2026-06-14 0.571691 0.836942 1.250905 1.981302 3.326877 5.913048 11.925370
2026-06-21 0.562528 0.830902 1.254823 2.013970 3.439245 6.245597 12.990867
2026-06-28 0.551964 0.822101 1.253644 2.037287 3.535149 6.553194 14.044512
2026-07-05 0.539963 0.810427 1.247031 2.050227 3.611457 6.826451 15.055961